I'll be very surprised if this is the first diary on this, but since I can't find any mention of the actual Mason-Dixon polls. These were taken Oct 15-18.
New Knight Ridder/MSNBC Poll Shows Kerry Leads in Michigan, Oregon and Pennsylvania
IOWA
Bush: 49%
Kerry: 43%
MICHIGAN
Kerry: 47%
Bush: 46%
OREGON
Kerry: 47%
Bush: 46%
PENNSYLVANIA
Kerry: 46%
Bush: 45%
WISCONSIN
Kerry: 45%
Bush: 45%
Not bad considering M-D usually tilts Republican. The Iowa numbers are the only worrisome ones I think. Especially considering Bush's dis-approval ratings (under the fold).
APPROVAL RATINGS
IOWA
Approve: 49%
Disapprove: 43%
MICHIGAN
Approve: 47%
Disapprove: 45%
OREGON
Approve: 47%
Disapprove: 46%
PENNSYLVANIA
Approve: 48%
Disapprove: 46%
WISCONSIN
Approve: 47%
Disapprove: 45%
Bush doesn't have a real chance of winning Wisconsin with only 47% approval in my opinion.